Golden Entry. Is Your Portfolio Built to Survive A World in Chaos?

Today’s Core Points:

• The World is in CRISIS mode. Your Portfolio must be too.

• Gold is the Chaos Hedge. PAXG & XAUT

• Is the Heir Apparent Ready to Run?

PREMIUM NEWSLETTER FOR PAYING SUBSCRIBERS (Released every Thursday).

Hey all,

The “nothing ever happens crew” is really taking a beating in 2025/26 so we must address the obvious…

First, we should aim to better understand the problem and the implications, so let’s go:

- Big picture Iran. Taking Tehran off the board drives a geographic wedge between a weakened Russia and dents China's ambitions - shifting economic and energy structures that underpin how the world works. It also solidifies Israel as the regional military power and pushes Gulf States into its orbit. Whilst no-one can predict the future it’s hard to see this not creating a highly volatile Middle East of shifting borders, energy disruption, and regime failure for the next decade. The goldilocks scenario would be a unified Mid-east with free flowing energy and no major humanitarian crisis.  

- Endgame? This is the only question analysts like myself should be asking. The conventional war is close to over - but has the US learned from its mistakes in Iraq and Afghanistan? Regime change, occupation, boots on the ground, a drawn out war….

Markets, the American public, the West, are all vehemently against this - nor can it afford it. It would turn into a quicksand that destroys an empire - ends the USD, and blows up the global debt bubble. 

 - The demise of the US war machine has been greatly exaggerated. This is a Marvel-esque obliteration as you’re ever likely to see, and leaves little room to doubt its military supremacy - a topic of debate after the Afghanistan withdrawal. Russia, North Korea, and China are watching. 

- Even the United States cannot sustain a major war at high intensity. This is just a practical reality in 2026 and we should anticipate for this action to end in weeks not months. The US has the means but doesn't have the manufacturing speed or capacity to replace the equipment and ammunition they are burning through - at least not yet. The fear around dwindling interceptor inventories in the Gulf is the signal.
 
- Iran is undoubtedly the biggest loser here, the second biggest loser is China. With the fall of Venezuela last month, the US took the world’s largest oil reserve off the map - directing it away from pacific rival, China.

China needs oil - they are a net importer, and while they have large reserves, the much publicised invasion of Taiwan becomes less likely if their energy sources become unreliable. Moreover, the failure of modern Chinese military equipment to counter US forces in both Venezuela and Iran is a major black eye and adds to uncertainty around Taiwan.  

Inflation. The longer this carries on, the bigger the impact on global inflation. World markets are bracing for energy restrictions - this affects the price of just about everything. Fuel, food - everything.

By hitting energy infrastructure in the Gulf and putting the Strait of Hormuz under siege Iran is calculating that the pain on the global economy will eventually turn sentiment against US action. Almost a third of the world’s Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) is now offline.

It’s not just energy, the world’s reliance on fertilizers that move through the strait cannot be understated. Fertilizer and chemicals vital to global food production are disrupted by war in the Gulf - driving domestic inflation on food will not be popular.

Rate rises? Higher consumer inflation via energy will cause Central Banks to consider raising rates again - possibly cracking the housing market in places like Australia. This will just lead to more money printing.

What’s the point of me telling you all this?

Firstly, make sure you fill up your car…

Melbourne Investors: Private Crypto Strategy Event

Recent market volatility exposed many weak investment strategies. The difference between losing capital and growing it often comes down to strategy, positioning, and timing.

On March 11, Joe Shew will host a private live crypto event in Melbourne for investors seeking a more structured approach to navigating the market.

📍 161 Collins St, Melbourne

🗓 Wed, March 11, 2026

⏰ 12:00 – 2:00 PM AEST

Joe will cover key market insights, strategic portfolio positioning, and the framework serious investors use to manage risk and capitalise on opportunities ahead.

Seats are limited for this small, private session.

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