STOP Selling Support! The UGLY Truth for people betting against BTC (Paid Edition)

Today’s Core Points: 

- The Most Consensus Bear Market Ever

- If you’re Bearish at Support, You’re doing it Wrong

- The Two Devils of Charting that will REKT your portfolio

- Back Your Thesis with Solid Risk Management

- The UGLY Truth for people betting against BTC in 2026

PREMIUM NEWSLETTER FOR PAYING SUBSCRIBERS (Released every Thursday).

The natives are damn near losing their minds!

Let’s up-level our energy with simple analysis and much needed positivity - NOT EMOTION.

To be fair - it’s extra noisy right now!

Leverage, boredom, despair, and frustration is causing a crashout in traders, investors and overall sentiment every bit as bad as FTX.

Just have a look on X 👇

Daily capitulation posts (some may be untrue) are everywhere. Many verified accounts are vocally removing themselves from the market and posting massive losses and frustration.

This wasn’t supposed to happen....

While Bitcoin chills, most of Crypto is making fresh lows while Traditional markets hit new highs and even worse - AI and Quantum stocks are pumping like meme coins used to.

We all expected a strong Q4 and what we got was more RED.

This is what markets do. It punishes boredom and revenge trading, no better illustrated in the largest liquidation ever on the 10th of October.

It removes money from the noisy and gives to the disciplined.

Of course, this is nothing new for Crypto and human psychology is predictable.

What if I told you that we are hitting extreme fear levels not seen since the lows of our last two major corrections?

The April 2025 lows and the August 2024 lows are both visible on this dot chart at 20.

Buying and Selling just based on this graph alone would be scarily profitable. Just reverse it.
 

Don’t be a statistic.

New holders of Bitcoin have emotionally panic sold their Bitcoin into willing buyers all the way down.

When we see major spikes in realised STH losses we are near the end of the move. Again, reverse it. 

Unfortunately, if you've remained fully allocated to altcoins during the last 24 months, the stress of constantly underperforming Bitcoin would get to anyone.

In that story please remember, it’s never too late to change your strategy.

The Good News is that markets seldom TOP when everyone screams “WE’VE TOPPED!

Seller panic is where bottoms form before the next move higher. It’s hard to hear, but trees grow tall after a forest fire.

Bulls, please calm the farm…

Bitcoin is retesting its bull market support of the 50 Week Moving Average. This has happened 3 times since 2023.

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